Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (84-94). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 24 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Ruben Patterson | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Qyntel Woods | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Arvydas Sabonis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Harrington * | 42 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 37 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 7 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 32 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Camby | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter