Central Mich.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1036 (#209) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1089 (#158) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#600) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.8 (#337) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.990 (#171) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#1) | NetEff +51.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.913 (#170) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.914 (#171) | AdjNet +20.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.842 (#154) | AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.575 (#254) | AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#364) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.535 (#378) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1026 (#328) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | La Roche | W | 90 - 83 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Chatham | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Muskingum | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Denison | W | 90 - 87 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Walsh | L | 72 - 98 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Adrian | W | 112 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bowdoin | W | 90 - 88 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Middlebury | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Olivet | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Allegheny | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Whittier | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Saint Vincent | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dickinson | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | CWRU | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | WashU | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | UChicago | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 82 - 96 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Brandeis | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | NYU | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Brandeis | L | 66 - 81 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | NYU | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Cuevas | - | 1 | 38.0 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 20 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 55.0 | 62.5 | 80.0 | 3.49 | 73.3 | 67.5 |
| Joe Espy | - | 1 | 33.0 | 27.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | -93 | -5.2 | -54.2 | 76.9 | 0 | 46.7 | 0.06 | 68.9 | 76.9 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | - | 2 | 24.0 | 20.5 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 20.5 | - | - | - | 68.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | - | 69.7 | 68.0 |
| Ben Lim | - | 1 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | -76 | -5.4 | -37.0 | 63.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.43 | 74.5 | 68.2 |
| Rodney Johnson Jr. | - | 1 | 19.6 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 42 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 81.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.15 | 81.8 | 81.8 |
| Nikola Dimitrijevic | - | 18 | 28.3 | 15.6 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 11.0 | 14.4 | -25 | -1.7 | -4.3 | 56.1 | 20.8 | 66.2 | -0.13 | 60.0 | 57.3 |
| Buckley DeJardin | - | 18 | 31.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 10.1 | 9.2 | -33 | -1.9 | -5.3 | 45.1 | 39.8 | 76.0 | 2.18 | 58.6 | 55.2 |
| Tamario Adley | - | 2 | 23.1 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 20.5 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 0.0 | 91.7 | - | 61.6 | 46.7 |
| Sam Adusei | - | 18 | 31.8 | 12.2 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 9.4 | 9.7 | -26 | -1.6 | -4.2 | 39.1 | 16.9 | 73.1 | 1.33 | 51.0 | 42.3 |
| Logan McIntire | - | 2 | 18.4 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 56.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | - | 68.1 | 68.8 |
| Nick Mullen | - | 2 | 25.1 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 85.7 | - | 67.3 | 60.7 |
| Evan Mirazimi | - | 18 | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 14 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 47.6 | 32.7 | 54.0 | 2.57 | 53.8 | 52.7 |
| Thomas Conley | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -109 | -6.8 | -77.8 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | -2.27 | 61.9 | 56.2 |
| Leo Wagner | - | 1 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -86 | -5.4 | -73.4 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.02 | 56.4 | 43.8 |
| Isaac Higgs | - | 19 | 30.8 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 32.1 | 60.3 | -0.5 | 52.5 | 50.0 |
| Phat Phat Brooks | - | 2 | 19.9 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 66.0 | 63.6 |
| Hunter Kennedy | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -74 | -5.3 | -80.3 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.05 | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Keenan Garner | - | 2 | 16.1 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | -20 | -1.0 | -7.2 | 83.3 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.15 | 84.0 | 83.3 |
| Ian Brown | - | 18 | 17.1 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 2.6 | -39 | -2.6 | -15.8 | 38.6 | 33.8 | 60.0 | -2.43 | 51.1 | 50.0 |
| Will Ashford | - | 2 | 18.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | - | 59.0 | 56.2 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | - | 2 | 18.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Kevin Reeves | - | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 30 | 1.9 | 11.3 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.23 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Nolan Casey | - | 19 | 18.3 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 | -54 | -3.2 | -15.6 | 51.4 | 12.5 | 64.3 | 1.54 | 54.5 | 52.9 |
| Kayden Nation | - | 2 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Jalen Kampen | - | 1 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -20.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.35 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Aidan Carleson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -98 | -5.4 | -117.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -3.34 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ben Chilson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 2.9 | 82.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 2.24 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nolan Bessire | - | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -19 | -1.4 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.0 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Justas Bardauskas | - | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Jorden Brooks | - | 2 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Dylan Bronner | - | 16 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 0.27 | 26.4 | 21.4 |
| Robert Uhl | - | 5 | 5.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -9 | -3.0 | -129.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Chase Collignon | - | 11 | 7.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | -15 | -1.9 | -12.3 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.49 | 22.2 | 21.4 |
| Carter Klaus | - | 3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -3 | -3.0 | -43.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Andreottola | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -5 | -2.5 | -27.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Hassanein | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Zienkewicz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG