Whittier
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#399) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 986 (#400) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 996 (#488) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#189) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.7 (#429) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.364 (#558) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.312 (#447) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.303 (#449) | AdjNet -7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.371 (#461) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.422 (#549) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 77.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.424 (#462) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.426 (#463) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1055 (#282) | RD 99 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | CSU Bakersfield | L | 61 - 83 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | West Coast Baptist | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Pacific (OR) | W | 101 - 78 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Lewis & Clark | L | 90 - 99 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Cal Lutheran | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Claremont-M-S | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Pacific Union | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Cal Maritime | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ | San Diego St. | L | 59 - 121 |
| 2025-12-27 | vs | Amherst | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-12-28 | vs | Bridgewater St. | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Occidental | L | 70 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Pomona-Pitzer | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | La Verne | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Chapman | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Redlands | L | 60 - 105 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Occidental | L | 83 - 89 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Caltech | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Cal Lutheran | L | 89 - 95 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | La Verne | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Chapman | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Claremont-M-S | L | 69 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Andrews | - | 17 | 34.3 | 18.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 7 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 44.7 | 37.5 | 77.3 | 2.17 | 55.1 | 52.7 |
| Joe Espy | - | 1 | 33.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | -93 | -5.2 | -54.2 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 57.1 | 60.7 |
| Hunter Kennedy | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -74 | -5.3 | -80.3 | 60.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | -2.05 | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| Caden Breznikar | - | 1 | 38.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -43 | -3.6 | -33.2 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.94 | 50.4 | 46.4 |
| Jonathan Duley | - | 19 | 24.6 | 14.1 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 9.1 | 33 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 50.3 | 28.6 | 84.1 | -1.68 | 61.0 | 53.6 |
| Thomas Conley | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -109 | -6.8 | -77.8 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -2.27 | 57.4 | 55.0 |
| Lucas Gordon | - | 1 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 164 | 9.1 | 58.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.69 | 73.2 | 75.0 |
| Jaden Mathis | - | 19 | 29.4 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 8.7 | 7.6 | -11 | -0.8 | -3.4 | 42.4 | 37.0 | 81.2 | 0.69 | 58.6 | 55.8 |
| Chinecherem Nwanevu | - | 4 | 32.4 | 10.8 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 14.2 | -16 | -2.3 | -6.4 | 46.9 | 26.7 | 81.8 | 0.64 | 58.4 | 53.1 |
| Omari Ferguson | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 81 | 4.5 | 30.1 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 1.08 | 58.9 | 40.0 |
| Tochi Onyeador | - | 19 | 32.2 | 8.4 | 11.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 18.4 | 18 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 64.0 | 50.0 | 50.8 | 2.78 | 63.1 | 64.5 |
| Leo Wagner | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -86 | -5.4 | -73.4 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.02 | 47.4 | 43.8 |
| Jhace Boston | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 110 | 6.9 | 54.9 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.22 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Peyton Guerrero | - | 19 | 17.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 46 | 3.3 | 38.1 | 41.0 | 30.4 | 72.1 | -0.1 | 52.5 | 48.0 |
| Bryce Whitaker | - | 10 | 24.9 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.8 | -33 | -2.8 | -22.5 | 34.7 | 30.6 | 62.5 | -1.85 | 46.0 | 42.4 |
| Austin Unegbu | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 67 | 4.5 | 156.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.16 | 37.1 | 33.3 |
| Donovan Ware | - | 1 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 37 | 2.1 | 18.1 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -2.54 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Sean Cervantes | - | 3 | 20.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 26.3 | 16.7 | 25.0 | - | 28.9 | 28.9 |
| Jaiden Agbo | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7 | 0.9 | 126.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Miles Burrows | - | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -27 | -1.6 | -20.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.35 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aidan Carleson | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -98 | -5.4 | -117.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.34 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sverre Woudstra | - | 6 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | - | 77.7 | 75.0 |
| David Estes | - | 16 | 8.9 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | -17 | -1.5 | -44.4 | 36.0 | 21.4 | 0 | -0.85 | 42.0 | 42.0 |
| Dillon McLennan | - | 15 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | -17 | -1.4 | -30.9 | 23.1 | 23.5 | 100.0 | -1.81 | 33.5 | 30.8 |
| Brandon Romo | - | 4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Koleton Fenton | - | 9 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Bernardo Zappia | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Devin Mims | - | 2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG