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Allegheny

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Allegheny
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 924 (#505) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 890 (#508) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 978 (#557) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -10.7 (#261) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -14.6 (#606) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.298 (#597) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.9 More → 0.250 (#46) NetEff -8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.1 More → 0.122 (#614) AdjNet -17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.3 More → 0.118 (#612) AdjNet -17.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 80.8 More → 0.237 (#612) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 80.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.331 (#644) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.264 (#614) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.277 (#611) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 967 (#420) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Canisius L 43 - 84
2025-11-12 @ Carlow W 82 - 57
2025-11-15 @ Pitt.-Greensburg L 81 - 90
2025-11-19 vs Oberlin L 60 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 41 - 58
2025-12-03 vs Westminster (PA) W 66 - 54
2025-12-06 @ Geneva L 80 - 83
2025-12-13 vs CWRU L 65 - 85
2025-12-16 vs Muskingum L 82 - 93
2025-12-18 @ Carnegie Mellon W 72 - 65
2025-12-29 @ Otterbein L 51 - 88
2025-12-30 vs Albion L 60 - 66
2026-01-07 @ Thiel W 77 - 53
2026-01-10 vs Waynesburg L 49 - 64
2026-01-14 vs Grove City W 65 - 57
2026-01-17 @ Saint Vincent L 59 - 85
2026-01-21 vs Hiram W 67 - 55
2026-01-24 @ Wash. & Jeff. L 72 - 85
2026-01-28 vs Geneva W 79 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Bethany (WV) L 73 - 85
2026-02-04 @ Westminster (PA) W 75 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Chatham W 69 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Gales - 1 23.3 23.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 22.0 89 5.2 27.7 53.3 0.0 70.0 0.52 59.3 53.3
Jonathan Bertovich - 1 31.8 22.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 15.0 -23 -1.1 -5.3 54.5 57.1 75.0 0.56 75.8 72.7
Kameron Mayes - 1 38.8 21.0 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 20.0 15.0 -14 -0.7 -2.4 45.0 0.0 60.0 1.88 47.3 45.0
Trey Barker - 1 36.0 19.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 9.0 31 1.6 6.7 50.0 42.9 0 1.29 59.4 59.4
Tommy Coletti - 1 35.0 17.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 13.0 -11 -0.6 -2.2 50.0 100.0 57.1 1.41 56.4 54.2
Ryan Lang - 19 35.2 13.5 6.5 3.7 0.9 0.2 3.5 11.8 9.5 -120 -6.0 -34.2 43.1 28.1 50.0 -3.7 50.0 49.1
Pijus Latauskas - 19 29.8 12.9 5.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 2.2 8.9 8.8 -71 -3.5 -16.4 53.3 37.3 65.7 -1.14 61.3 58.9
Dwayne Ray - 1 27.8 12.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 8.0 -34 -1.8 -11.1 50.0 25.0 50.0 -2.72 55.1 55.0
Maxwell Gordon - 1 17.5 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 83 4.4 29.3 57.1 66.7 100.0 5.15 76.1 71.4
James Sitter - 19 29.8 11.0 5.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.3 8.8 8.2 -29 -1.4 -7.5 38.3 36.6 90.0 -0.54 56.6 51.8
Jayson Perry - 17 30.5 9.8 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.8 2.1 7.7 7.5 16 0.8 4.6 42.0 30.2 75.4 1.53 53.2 46.9
Malachi Hooser - 1 29.1 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 -6 -0.3 -1.3 42.9 25.0 66.7 1.83 54.1 50.0
Austin Matthews - 1 17.5 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 -47 -2.4 -14.1 100.0 0 50.0 1.01 92.2 100.0
Dev Ostrowski - 1 23.4 8.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 77 3.7 20.2 42.9 50.0 0.0 0.53 50.8 57.1
Max Wallace - 19 22.2 7.5 3.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 5.8 6.4 -12 -0.6 -3.9 50.9 39.1 75.0 2.37 58.0 55.0
Michael Umeh - 1 16.1 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 31 1.5 7.0 50.0 0 50.0 0.82 50.9 50.0
Nick Million - 1 29.4 7.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 -47 -3.1 -12.4 28.6 20.0 100.0 -0.55 44.4 35.7
Lincoln Brockmeyer - 1 15.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 4.0 -32 -2.3 -43.6 14.3 20.0 0.0 -0.6 20.2 21.4
Mason Brodi - 1 17.8 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 -1 -0.0 -0.3 40.0 100.0 0 -0.92 50.0 50.0
Eli Teslovich - 19 14.7 4.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.4 4.7 1.7 -92 -4.6 -51.5 36.7 35.0 47.6 -1.71 41.8 40.6
Kaleb Brown - 1 7.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -14 -1.6 -208.7 100.0 0 0 -1.17 100.0 100.0
Truman King - 1 30.9 4.0 3.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 -4 -0.2 -0.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 2.32 25.8 0.0
Kurtis Rhodes - 1 22.2 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 -12 -0.6 -2.8 25.0 0.0 100.0 3.05 41.0 25.0
Ryan Edwards - 1 18.8 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 -44 -2.2 -18.8 50.0 50.0 50.0 -4.86 69.4 75.0
Jevontae Jones - 1 18.4 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 12 0.6 3.4 40.0 0 0 -0.29 40.0 40.0
Jordan Lucas-Johnson - 1 4.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Tayt Lucas - 1 8.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -44 -2.2 -24.7 33.3 50.0 0 -2.9 50.0 50.0
Julien Vonovier - 1 6.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Elijah Brush - 1 10.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1 0.1 11.2 100.0 0 0 -0.1 100.0 100.0
Jadakis Mack - 1 3.4 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -13 -2.6 -76.3 50.0 0 0 -1.18 50.0 50.0
Terek Crosby - 1 9.1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 46 2.3 22.3 50.0 0 0 1.45 50.0 50.0
Duncan Spalding - 1 6.9 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -17 -0.8 -26.6 0 0 100.0 0.25 113.6 0
Vinnie DePaula - 9 3.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 0.3 - - - 27.8 28.6 0 - 38.9 38.9
Devon Lewis - 12 8.0 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.3 1.9 -52 -4.0 -272.5 50.0 25.0 40.0 -0.72 52.2 53.1
Owen Maddalon - 19 14.9 1.3 2.4 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.2 -29 -1.4 -17.5 43.5 33.3 50.0 -1.26 46.8 45.7
Jacob Szep - 8 2.7 0.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 56.4 50.0
Isaiah Portis - 4 10.1 0.8 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.5 15 5.0 14.8 14.3 14.3 0.0 1.42 20.2 21.4
Cohen Pease - 5 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 -0.4 - - - 16.7 20.0 0.0 - 21.8 25.0
Jeremy Burda - 8 3.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 17.0 0.0
Caleb Akey - 5 1.5 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trace Williams - 5 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.4 92 4.2 47.5 0.0 0.0 0 1.34 0.0 0.0
Tyler Davis - 1 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 22 1.7 41.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.62 0.0 0.0
Miles Pritchett - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Lyle - 1 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -4 -0.5 -23.4 0 0 0 -0.95 0 0
Alec Srock - 1 8.7 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 -4 -0.2 -1.7 0.0 0 0 -3.26 0.0 0.0
Jaden Bailey - 1 12.8 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -2.0 -28 -1.6 -33.8 0.0 0 0 -0.27 0.0 0.0
Isaiah Logvin - 1 1.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -2 -0.3 -15.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.54 0.0 0.0
Damon Howey - 1 2.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nick Peccon - 1 3.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -11 -1.1 -40.6 0 0 0 0.6 0 0
Randy Wilkerson - 1 1.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tanner Miller - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 0.4 1.4 0 0 0 1.82 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG