Allegheny
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1039 (#204) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 944 (#443) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#557) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.4 (#335) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.6 (#606) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.298 (#597) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.250 (#46) | NetEff -8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.122 (#614) | AdjNet -17.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.118 (#612) | AdjNet -17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.237 (#612) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 80.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.331 (#644) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.277 (#611) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 969 (#410) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Canisius | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Carlow | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Oberlin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | CWRU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Otterbein | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Waynesburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Saint Vincent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Geneva | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Bethany (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Westminster (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Chatham | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Gales | - | 1 | 23.3 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 89 | 5.2 | 27.7 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 2.08 | 59.3 | 53.3 |
| Jonathan Bertovich | - | 1 | 31.8 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | -23 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 54.5 | 57.1 | 75.0 | -1.86 | 75.8 | 72.7 |
| Kameron Mayes | - | 1 | 38.8 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.81 | 47.3 | 45.0 |
| Trey Barker | - | 1 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 31 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 0 | 4.49 | 59.4 | 59.4 |
| Tommy Coletti | - | 1 | 35.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 57.1 | 1.78 | 56.4 | 54.2 |
| Ryan Lang | - | 18 | 35.9 | 13.9 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 12.1 | 10.2 | -120 | -6.0 | -34.2 | 43.8 | 28.6 | 51.5 | -0.99 | 50.8 | 49.8 |
| Pijus Latauskas | - | 18 | 30.1 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 9.2 | 8.9 | -71 | -3.5 | -16.4 | 53.6 | 38.0 | 67.2 | -2.05 | 61.8 | 59.3 |
| Dwayne Ray | - | 1 | 27.8 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | -34 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -2.3 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
| Maxwell Gordon | - | 1 | 17.5 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 83 | 4.4 | 29.3 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 3.37 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| James Sitter | - | 18 | 29.9 | 11.1 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 8.4 | -29 | -1.4 | -7.5 | 38.9 | 37.4 | 89.5 | 0.66 | 57.3 | 52.5 |
| Jayson Perry | - | 16 | 30.7 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 42.4 | 31.7 | 76.4 | 2.93 | 54.0 | 47.6 |
| Malachi Hooser | - | 1 | 29.1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.92 | 54.1 | 50.0 |
| Austin Matthews | - | 1 | 17.5 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | -47 | -2.4 | -14.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.19 | 92.2 | 100.0 |
| Dev Ostrowski | - | 1 | 23.4 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 77 | 3.7 | 20.2 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 2.38 | 50.8 | 57.1 |
| Max Wallace | - | 18 | 22.3 | 7.7 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 6.5 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.9 | 52.9 | 39.1 | 75.0 | 1.33 | 60.4 | 57.4 |
| Michael Umeh | - | 1 | 16.1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 31 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.57 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Nick Million | - | 1 | 29.4 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -12.4 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -3.31 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Lincoln Brockmeyer | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | -32 | -2.3 | -43.6 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -1.24 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
| Mason Brodi | - | 1 | 17.8 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.09 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Eli Teslovich | - | 18 | 14.5 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 1.9 | -92 | -4.6 | -51.5 | 37.3 | 38.9 | 52.6 | -3.91 | 43.2 | 41.6 |
| Kaleb Brown | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -14 | -1.6 | -208.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.95 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Truman King | - | 1 | 30.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.78 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Kurtis Rhodes | - | 1 | 22.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -2.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Ryan Edwards | - | 1 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -44 | -2.2 | -18.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -3.3 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Jevontae Jones | - | 1 | 18.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -3.83 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Jordan Lucas-Johnson | - | 1 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Tayt Lucas | - | 1 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -44 | -2.2 | -24.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.53 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Julien Vonovier | - | 1 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Elijah Brush | - | 1 | 10.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 11.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jadakis Mack | - | 1 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -13 | -2.6 | -76.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Terek Crosby | - | 1 | 9.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 46 | 2.3 | 22.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Duncan Spalding | - | 1 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -26.6 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.86 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Vinnie DePaula | - | 8 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 30.8 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Devon Lewis | - | 11 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -52 | -4.0 | -272.5 | 46.7 | 25.0 | 40.0 | -3.58 | 49.4 | 50.0 |
| Owen Maddalon | - | 18 | 14.7 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3.3 | -29 | -1.4 | -17.5 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.43 | 46.5 | 45.2 |
| Isaiah Portis | - | 4 | 10.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 15 | 5.0 | 14.8 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 2.07 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
| Jacob Szep | - | 7 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Jeremy Burda | - | 7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Cohen Pease | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Akey | - | 4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Trace Williams | - | 4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 92 | 4.2 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.67 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Davis | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 22 | 1.7 | 41.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Miles Pritchett | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Lyle | - | 1 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -0.5 | -23.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Srock | - | 1 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaden Bailey | - | 1 | 12.8 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -28 | -1.6 | -33.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah Logvin | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -2 | -0.3 | -15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Damon Howey | - | 1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Peccon | - | 1 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -11 | -1.1 | -40.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Randy Wilkerson | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG