Olivet
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 924 (#504) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 975 (#410) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1091 (#103) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#105) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#354) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.215 (#657) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.858 (#16) | NetEff +15.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.234 (#501) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.226 (#501) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.343 (#489) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.571 (#259) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#348) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#343) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1128 (#134) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Franklin | L | 74 - 85 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Anderson (IN) | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | John Carroll | L | 96 - 100 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Ohio Northern | L | 51 - 65 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Heidelberg | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Central Mich. | L | 65 - 85 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Carthage | L | 82 - 92 |
| 2025-12-23 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Findlay | L | 70 - 95 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Muskingum | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | WashU | L | 68 - 94 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Albion | W | 69 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hope | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Alma | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 95 - 68 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Adrian | W | 78 - 64 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Trine | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Calvin | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Alma | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Albion | W | 71 - 57 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hovey | - | 1 | 36.0 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 16 | 0.9 | 9.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 70.0 | 1.26 | 67.6 | 65.0 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 22 | 31.7 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 10.8 | 10.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 52.5 | 39.3 | 71.9 | 1.82 | 59.7 | 57.1 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 19 | 29.5 | 11.6 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 10.4 | 11.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 44.9 | 37.9 | 63.6 | -1.18 | 52.0 | 50.5 |
| Sean Shenker | - | 22 | 27.2 | 10.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 60 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 42.5 | 36.2 | 65.9 | 3.62 | 56.2 | 54.4 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 22 | 28.1 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 13.5 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.9 | 49.4 | 15.0 | 74.6 | -0.79 | 55.6 | 50.3 |
| Orion Yant | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 45 | 2.2 | 18.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.59 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
| Sam Howard | - | 14 | 14.4 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 4.2 | -11 | -0.7 | -6.4 | 50.0 | 41.0 | 75.9 | -0.57 | 66.0 | 62.1 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 22 | 18.8 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 6.2 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 55.7 | 0.0 | 47.5 | 2.35 | 55.4 | 55.7 |
| Mike Okello | - | 22 | 18.2 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 55.0 | 21.4 | 64.5 | -0.82 | 58.5 | 56.5 |
| Brendan Cargill | - | 1 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 42 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.48 | 34.2 | 14.3 |
| Justice Mims | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.93 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Evan Honnen | - | 8 | 18.6 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 5.4 | 4.1 | -63 | -7.9 | -46.3 | 34.9 | 34.3 | 0 | -1.4 | 48.8 | 48.8 |
| Marcus Wourman | - | 1 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.8 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Alex Genuise | - | 13 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | -19 | -1.5 | -11.8 | 45.9 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 0.84 | 55.5 | 54.1 |
| Levi Stambaugh | - | 16 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1.1 | -34 | -2.0 | -35.0 | 36.7 | 35.9 | 66.7 | -0.28 | 51.7 | 51.0 |
| Jared Ryg | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.8 | -20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.36 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Trey Kolakovich | - | 13 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -15 | -1.2 | -11.7 | 38.9 | 41.7 | 100.0 | -1.52 | 55.6 | 52.8 |
| Kayden Neiderquill | - | 8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 10 | 1.7 | 98.8 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 52.7 | 50.0 |
| Logan Walton | - | 9 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 16 | 2.3 | 87.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 46.8 | 55.0 |
| Simon Neuhaus | - | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -46 | -2.3 | -19.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.65 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Jamahr Motley | - | 7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 7 | 1.4 | 69.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Aden Hathaway | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Damani Hicks | - | 5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 59.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carter Bishop | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tucker Blemaster | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 4.0 | 39.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG