Olivet
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1081 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1091 (#103) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.4 (#154) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#354) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.215 (#657) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.858 (#16) | NetEff +15.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.234 (#501) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.226 (#501) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.343 (#489) | AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.571 (#259) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#348) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#343) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1114 (#150) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Franklin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Anderson (IN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | John Carroll | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Heidelberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Central Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Carthage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-23 | @ | Rose-Hulman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | WashU | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Hope | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Kalamazoo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Adrian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Trine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Calvin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Kalamazoo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Albion | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hovey | - | 1 | 36.0 | 33.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 16 | 0.9 | 9.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 70.0 | 1.22 | 67.6 | 65.0 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 20 | 32.5 | 14.7 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 10.6 | -22 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 52.3 | 40.4 | 71.4 | -0.15 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 17 | 29.6 | 11.2 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 10.4 | 11.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 42.9 | 36.5 | 61.3 | -0.45 | 49.8 | 48.3 |
| Sean Shenker | - | 20 | 27.4 | 11.1 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 60 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 43.7 | 37.7 | 65.9 | 3.04 | 57.8 | 56.0 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 20 | 29.0 | 9.9 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 14.6 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.9 | 52.1 | 15.8 | 75.4 | -1.18 | 58.2 | 53.1 |
| Orion Yant | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 45 | 2.2 | 18.4 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 3.66 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
| Sam Howard | - | 12 | 14.4 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 4.4 | -11 | -0.7 | -6.4 | 50.0 | 40.6 | 78.6 | -0.22 | 66.1 | 61.2 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 20 | 18.6 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 5.8 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 54.4 | 0.0 | 47.2 | -0.28 | 54.3 | 54.4 |
| Mike Okello | - | 20 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 7.3 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 54.4 | 23.1 | 63.3 | -0.35 | 58.1 | 56.1 |
| Evan Honnen | - | 7 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 5.3 | 5.0 | -63 | -7.9 | -46.3 | 40.5 | 41.4 | 0 | -3.36 | 56.8 | 56.8 |
| Brendan Cargill | - | 1 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 42 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.84 | 34.2 | 14.3 |
| Justice Mims | - | 1 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.05 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Marcus Wourman | - | 1 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Alex Genuise | - | 11 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | -19 | -1.5 | -11.8 | 48.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 58.0 | 58.1 |
| Levi Stambaugh | - | 14 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | -34 | -2.0 | -35.0 | 37.8 | 35.7 | 66.7 | -0.47 | 52.2 | 51.4 |
| Jared Ryg | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.8 | -20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Kayden Neiderquill | - | 6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 10 | 1.7 | 98.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 65.2 | 62.5 |
| Trey Kolakovich | - | 11 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -15 | -1.2 | -11.7 | 46.7 | 55.6 | 0 | -1.83 | 63.3 | 63.3 |
| Logan Walton | - | 7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 16 | 2.3 | 87.9 | 55.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.33 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Simon Neuhaus | - | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -46 | -2.3 | -19.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Jamahr Motley | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 | 69.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tucker Blemaster | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 4.0 | 39.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Damani Hicks | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 6 | 1.2 | 59.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carter Bishop | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG