Penn St.-Behrend
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1093 (#119) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1070 (#133) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#198) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.5 (#446) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.760 (#312) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.317 (#442) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.310 (#443) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.369 (#465) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.597 (#223) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.496 (#402) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.526 (#381) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1149 (#106) | RD 167 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 70 - 48 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Carlow | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Alfred St. | W | 68 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Hilbert | W | 81 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geremia Dell'Omo | - | 6 | 30.1 | 15.2 | 8.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 14.0 | 25 | 3.6 | 337.1 | 60.3 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.49 | 64.7 | 60.3 |
| Mason Blankenberg | - | 6 | 34.6 | 13.7 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 48 | 3.0 | 19.6 | 50.0 | 41.2 | 83.3 | -0.58 | 64.8 | 62.1 |
| Nate Edwards | - | 6 | 31.8 | 11.5 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 70 | 4.1 | 30.2 | 45.8 | 34.3 | 72.2 | 2.52 | 61.7 | 58.3 |
| Matthew McDonough | - | 5 | 33.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 68 | 4.2 | 31.1 | 46.7 | 30.0 | 88.9 | 0.21 | 57.2 | 53.3 |
| Dolan Waldo | - | 1 | 32.7 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | -69 | -7.7 | -1689.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.41 | 53.9 | 50.0 |
| Aiden Reesman | - | 6 | 27.4 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 6.7 | -5 | -1.2 | -67.4 | 34.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -0.49 | 55.3 | 50.0 |
| Jake Jenisch | - | 6 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 74 | 4.6 | 92.1 | 64.7 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 2.23 | 78.3 | 79.4 |
| Tyson Totten | - | 4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -7 | -0.8 | -34.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.75 | 45.0 | 50.0 |
| Charlie Breindel | - | 4 | 6.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -1 | -0.2 | -7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.57 | 45.2 | 0.0 |
| Derek Galla | - | 4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -6 | -1.0 | -46.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sam Petrarca | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Ziegler | - | 4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -4 | -0.4 | -30.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG