Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1067 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1152 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1122 (#63) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#38) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.3 (#218) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.878 (#252) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.907 (#177) | AdjNet +19.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.907 (#178) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.786 (#186) | AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.757 (#58) | AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 67.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.768 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.770 (#113) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1228 (#47) | RD 108 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Old Westbury | W | 87 - 49 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 99 - 94 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Kean | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Manhattanville | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Cal Lutheran | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | George Fox | W | 105 - 69 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 83 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Farmingdale St. | W | 84 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lancaster Bible | W | 95 - 83 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | John Jay | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Brandeis | L | 85 - 88 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Rochester (NY) | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Emory | L | 75 - 87 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | WashU | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | UChicago | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | CWRU | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | CWRU | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carnegie Johnson | - | 17 | 32.1 | 16.9 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 12.4 | 13.3 | 85 | 4.7 | 23.1 | 48.3 | 42.9 | 78.5 | 0.15 | 60.1 | 56.2 |
| Darren Rubin | - | 19 | 25.2 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 6.2 | 80 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 42.9 | 38.9 | 92.6 | 3.85 | 56.4 | 53.8 |
| Luke Kolaja | - | 16 | 22.1 | 13.5 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 85 | 5.0 | 23.5 | 48.2 | 39.0 | 66.7 | 2.97 | 59.0 | 57.6 |
| Nikola Dimitrijevic | - | 1 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -25 | -1.7 | -4.3 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.13 | 66.1 | 64.3 |
| Bryan Moussako | - | 19 | 32.8 | 10.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 135 | 6.8 | 22.4 | 43.4 | 40.7 | 83.3 | 0.77 | 61.3 | 59.1 |
| Darius Gakwasi | - | 6 | 17.2 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 21 | 2.6 | 11.9 | 44.6 | 23.8 | 50.0 | -0.55 | 49.7 | 49.1 |
| Andrew Waldman | - | 18 | 22.8 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 12.3 | 84 | 4.7 | 29.9 | 56.5 | 36.7 | 72.0 | 2.83 | 65.1 | 62.9 |
| Alex Daniels | - | 19 | 17.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 54 | 2.7 | 18.1 | 45.4 | 41.1 | 69.2 | -0.1 | 58.4 | 57.2 |
| Quinn Clark | - | 19 | 24.9 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 113 | 5.7 | 22.5 | 53.7 | 15.4 | 66.7 | -0.96 | 57.8 | 54.9 |
| Nolan Casey | - | 1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -54 | -3.2 | -15.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.54 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Buckley DeJardin | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -33 | -1.9 | -5.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.18 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Evan Mirazimi | - | 1 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 14 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.57 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Sam Adusei | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -26 | -1.6 | -4.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.33 | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Chase Garcia | - | 11 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 39 | 3.2 | 20.4 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 77.8 | 1.21 | 51.7 | 46.3 |
| Jonathan Sigurdsson | - | 12 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | -18 | -1.4 | -12.6 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 42.9 | -0.26 | 46.0 | 45.7 |
| Declan McIntyre | - | 16 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | -20 | -1.2 | -28.0 | 43.6 | 31.0 | 40.0 | -0.62 | 54.6 | 55.1 |
| Henry Bickford | - | 14 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 27 | 1.9 | 41.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 44.4 | 1.91 | 54.5 | 55.0 |
| Ian Brown | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -39 | -2.6 | -15.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.43 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Isaac Higgs | - | 1 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Oliver Ford | - | 6 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 20 | 3.3 | 108.4 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 0.24 | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Matt Volkening | - | 4 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 2 | 0.5 | 15.5 | 20.0 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.64 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Vinny Ferrari | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 | 130.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Sam Andreottola | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -2.5 | -27.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Bronner | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Collignon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.9 | -12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Hassanein | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Klaus | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -43.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Uhl | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -3.0 | -129.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Zienkewicz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Petrusev | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8 | 8.0 | 58.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG