WashU
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1129 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1250 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1091 (#102) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.1 (#10) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.6 (#237) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.819 (#284) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.861 (#201) | AdjNet +15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.861 (#202) | AdjNet +15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.746 (#201) | AdjO 79.6 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.719 (#88) | AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#177) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.726 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1195 (#71) | RD 105 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Eureka | W | 100 - 53 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Wabash | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Colorado Col. | W | 92 - 57 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Rhodes | W | 94 - 78 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Webster | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Rose-Hulman | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Hope | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Olivet | W | 94 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | UChicago | L | 62 - 85 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | CWRU | W | 100 - 93 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | NYU | L | 76 - 77 |
| 2026-01-25 | vs | Brandeis | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Emory | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Rochester (NY) | W | 89 - 78 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Emory | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor May | - | 19 | 31.8 | 17.3 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 12.9 | 14.4 | 89 | 4.7 | 14.6 | 46.9 | 37.8 | 80.3 | 1.9 | 59.8 | 56.1 |
| Anthony Pryzbilla | - | 19 | 25.7 | 12.1 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 31 | 3.1 | 60.6 | 51.9 | 36.8 | 72.9 | -2.58 | 56.9 | 53.9 |
| Ryan Cohen | - | 19 | 30.6 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 8.4 | 6.9 | 79 | 4.2 | 13.5 | 39.4 | 42.9 | 83.3 | 1.34 | 60.7 | 56.2 |
| Justin Odibo | - | 1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -64 | -3.6 | -12.3 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -3.58 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| John Mayhew | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 2.66 | 42.5 | 35.0 |
| Theo Murray | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Yogi Oliff | - | 16 | 23.3 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 14.3 | 88 | 5.2 | 19.6 | 54.3 | 50.0 | 76.2 | 2.92 | 66.5 | 58.6 |
| Tomiwa Adetosoye | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 31 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 36.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.08 | 35.0 | 36.4 |
| Calvin Kapral | - | 19 | 15.9 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 7.6 | 48 | 2.5 | 14.2 | 61.9 | 100.0 | 72.7 | 2.12 | 67.9 | 63.7 |
| Theo Rocca | - | 19 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 59 | 3.1 | 21.8 | 44.3 | 34.0 | 66.7 | 2.02 | 56.8 | 54.0 |
| Corvin Oprea | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 17 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 4.59 | 30.7 | 12.5 |
| Lleyton Thomas-Johnson | - | 9 | 11.1 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 43 | 5.4 | 66.6 | 61.3 | 41.7 | 85.7 | 2.08 | 71.9 | 69.4 |
| Jake Davis | - | 19 | 16.2 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 59 | 3.3 | 26.8 | 54.4 | 30.0 | 57.1 | 0.38 | 58.2 | 56.6 |
| Will Grudzinski | - | 18 | 17.4 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 3.7 | -46 | -2.6 | -22.7 | 32.5 | 29.0 | 66.7 | -3.56 | 47.5 | 43.8 |
| Josh Kim | - | 19 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 36 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 26.3 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 54.4 | 54.0 |
| Jordan Owusu | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | 57 | 3.2 | 11.8 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.67 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Lucas Vogel | - | 6 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | -8 | -1.3 | -11.9 | 35.3 | 22.2 | 71.4 | 0.8 | 47.3 | 41.2 |
| M.J. Young | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -2.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kyle Beedon | - | 6 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.5 | 14.2 | 42.9 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 1.8 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| George Gale | - | 19 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -20 | -1.1 | -11.8 | 34.2 | 14.3 | 75.0 | -0.93 | 37.7 | 35.5 |
| Jack Cubbage | - | 6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 8.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 40.0 | 1.49 | 76.9 | 100.0 |
| Colby Smith | - | 6 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 20.0 | 12.5 | 66.7 | 0.97 | 30.9 | 25.0 |
| Yusuf Cisse | - | 4 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -7 | -1.8 | -21.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Nate Beitel | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -45.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Tariq Bridges | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -4.5 | -41.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Dushie Jr. | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Camden Fleming | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -15 | -2.1 | -12.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Savvas Gonatas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -19 | -2.1 | -58.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Labkon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Razi | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Langston Woods | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG