Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1050 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1100 (#139) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 976 (#562) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.0 (#83) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.1 (#332) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.614 (#389) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.621 (#306) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.617 (#306) | AdjNet +4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.580 (#303) | AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 79.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.583 (#239) | AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.524 (#379) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.526 (#380) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1047 (#297) | RD 107 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Houghton | W | 99 - 79 |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 89 - 61 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mount Union | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Saint Vincent | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Hiram | W | 92 - 74 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Allegheny | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 97 - 80 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | La Roche | W | 97 - 78 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | UChicago | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | WashU | L | 93 - 100 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Emory | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 88 - 97 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | NYU | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | Brandeis | L | 79 - 90 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | NYU | L | 75 - 89 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Brandeis | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corvin Oprea | - | 1 | 36.1 | 36.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 17 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 72.2 | 57.1 | 85.7 | 4.59 | 85.4 | 83.3 |
| Luke Kolaja | - | 1 | 23.1 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 85 | 5.0 | 23.5 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 2.97 | 81.4 | 80.0 |
| Quinn Clark | - | 1 | 24.6 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 113 | 5.7 | 22.5 | 85.7 | 0 | 88.9 | -0.96 | 91.2 | 85.7 |
| Ethan Edwards | - | 13 | 23.9 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 14.0 | 6.8 | 44 | 3.1 | 16.6 | 36.8 | 34.8 | 71.9 | 0.36 | 50.4 | 45.6 |
| Theo Murray | - | 1 | 17.8 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 41.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 52.6 | 45.8 |
| Jordan Owusu | - | 1 | 32.6 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 57 | 3.2 | 11.8 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 1.67 | 43.7 | 39.3 |
| Matthew Ellis | - | 18 | 18.5 | 11.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 48 | 2.8 | 22.0 | 46.5 | 41.7 | 86.7 | -0.13 | 57.0 | 53.8 |
| Carnegie Johnson | - | 1 | 30.5 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 85 | 4.7 | 23.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.15 | 95.5 | 100.0 |
| Alex Vincent | - | 17 | 23.9 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 11.5 | 36 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 58.6 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.89 | 59.4 | 58.6 |
| Darius Gakwasi | - | 1 | 25.9 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 21 | 2.6 | 11.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.55 | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Anand Dharmarajan | - | 18 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 39.5 | 37.6 | 91.3 | -0.3 | 58.9 | 55.4 |
| John Mayhew | - | 1 | 26.3 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.66 | 45.5 | 38.9 |
| Shyam Patel | - | 17 | 22.9 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 5.5 | -45 | -2.5 | -8.9 | 35.7 | 32.3 | 71.4 | -2.67 | 50.7 | 48.4 |
| Bernard Dushie Jr. | - | 1 | 13.7 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.64 | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Justin Odibo | - | 1 | 26.4 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | -3.0 | -64 | -3.6 | -12.3 | 15.4 | 18.2 | 100.0 | -3.58 | 28.8 | 23.1 |
| Darren Rubin | - | 1 | 24.9 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 80 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 3.85 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Fox | - | 17 | 22.8 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6.2 | 10.4 | 10 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 50.9 | 14.3 | 54.3 | 0.58 | 52.7 | 51.4 |
| Bryan Moussako | - | 1 | 34.2 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 135 | 6.8 | 22.4 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 47.0 | 50.0 |
| Chase Garcia | - | 1 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 39 | 3.2 | 20.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.21 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ethan Nowak | - | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Logan Brown | - | 14 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 10.6 | -12 | -0.8 | -3.8 | 58.6 | 31.6 | 42.9 | -2.15 | 63.0 | 63.8 |
| Henry Bickford | - | 1 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 27 | 1.9 | 41.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.91 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Julian Scott | - | 18 | 18.3 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 40.4 | 20.0 | 42.9 | 4.0 | 42.1 | 41.5 |
| Anestis Hadjistamoulou | - | 18 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 2.2 | -57 | -3.0 | -33.6 | 42.2 | 39.1 | 81.8 | -1.4 | 58.8 | 56.2 |
| Drew Bartolai | - | 9 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -7 | -0.9 | -13.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 28.6 | -1.71 | 49.8 | 53.6 |
| Gideon Greenberg | - | 8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.1 | 4 | 0.6 | 12.9 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.43 | 41.3 | 45.8 |
| Nitish Sankaranthi | - | 6 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 6 | 0.8 | 10.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.54 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Will Taylor | - | 14 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -21 | -1.6 | -43.4 | 30.0 | 27.3 | 0 | -2.19 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Simon Moschin | - | 7 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.8 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| James Campbell IV | - | 8 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -10 | -1.2 | -51.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.59 | 32.9 | 12.5 |
| Luca Asanaka | - | 11 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -0.3 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.7 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.87 | 20.3 | 15.0 |
| Drey Fox | - | 9 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.5 | -14.5 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.61 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Henry Stowell | - | 5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.4 | 14.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.01 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Nolan Demski | - | 5 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -8 | -2.0 | -27.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.16 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Aaron Rucker | - | 15 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -12 | -0.8 | -26.9 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 39.4 | 37.5 |
| Luke Levan | - | 6 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.5 | 6.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| James Claypool | - | 6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.4 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.01 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Nate Beitel | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -10 | -3.3 | -45.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Camden Fleming | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -2.1 | -12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Jackson Labkon | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -2.0 | -11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Langston Woods | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| M.J. Young | - | 1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Daniels | - | 1 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 54 | 2.7 | 18.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jonathan Sigurdsson | - | 1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -18 | -1.4 | -12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG