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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1396 (#111) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1225 (#205) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1019 (#148) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +23.0 (#165) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.7 (#166) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.563 (#139) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.702 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.677 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 31 More → 1057 (#171) RD 146 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Dayton Flyers L 61 - 74
2012-11-13 vs Arkansas-Monticello Weevils W 76 - 47
2012-11-16 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 77 - 73
2012-11-21 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 73 - 72
2012-11-25 vs Lamar Cardinals W 93 - 53
2012-11-29 @ Florida International Panthers L 61 - 80
2012-12-01 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 65 - 72
2012-12-08 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 73 - 70
2012-12-16 vs Austin Peay Governors W 69 - 57
2012-12-19 vs Murray State Racers L 54 - 61
2012-12-22 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 69 - 73
2012-12-27 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 87 - 70
2012-12-29 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 63 - 54
2013-01-03 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 66 - 60
2013-01-05 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 75 - 61
2013-01-10 vs Florida International Panthers L 64 - 66
2013-01-12 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 56 - 61
2013-01-19 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 63 - 39
2013-01-24 @ Troy Trojans L 67 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 63 - 38
2013-01-31 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 74 - 62
2013-02-02 vs North Texas Mean Green W 75 - 66
2013-02-07 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 60 - 73
2013-02-09 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 67 - 49
2013-02-14 vs Little Rock Trojans W 86 - 62
2013-02-16 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 87 - 54
2013-02-23 vs Troy Trojans W 58 - 50
2013-02-28 @ North Texas Mean Green L 50 - 74
2013-03-02 @ Little Rock Trojans L 71 - 78
2013-03-09 vs Troy Trojans W 68 - 63
2013-03-10 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 56 - 58

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
E. Townsel E. Townsel G 31 29.8 13.1 3.2 1.2 1.6 0.0 1.5 1.4 16.2 154 5.0 6.7 36.4 34.6 64.3 0.69 405.7 46.6
B. Peterson B. Peterson F 31 33.2 10.5 9.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.0 20.7 145 4.7 6.5 50.0 0.0 65.0 0.89 398.3 50.0
T. Finn T. Finn G 30 33.7 10.4 4.9 1.7 1.4 0.4 1.4 1.4 15.9 122 4.1 5.5 32.6 23.3 76.2 0.95 298.6 40.7
C. Golden C. Golden G 31 20.1 7.4 2.7 2.1 1.0 0.1 2.0 1.4 9.9 65 2.1 4.9 34.9 26.1 75.0 0.46 237.2 41.9
M. Hooten M. Hooten G 31 19.4 7.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.4 1.1 8.4 82 2.6 6.4 20.6 9.1 86.7 0.49 269.7 22.1
K. Washington K. Washington F 27 23.0 6.8 4.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.0 10.5 7 0.8 1.0 50.0 0.0 50.0 0.28 301.0 50.0
R. Worsham R. Worsham G 29 17.8 6.4 3.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 1.1 0.6 9.4 37 1.3 2.8 44.4 25.0 46.7 -0.05 378.0 47.2
R. Dickerson R. Dickerson G 31 20.8 4.9 2.0 2.2 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.6 8.5 102 3.3 6.1 47.4 33.3 55.6 0.62 333.2 50.0
K. Downs K. Downs F 29 12.6 3.3 1.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.3 4.7 67 2.3 7.5 50.0 0.0 0 0.47 480.0 50.0
S. Kisler S. Kisler F 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Pierre J. Pierre - 4 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Weaver J. Weaver - 8 3.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Brown K. Brown - 4 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 242 7.1 12.5 0 0 0 1.11 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG