Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +7 (72-65). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Washington * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -12.6 |
| Brandon Peterson * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -12.3 |
| Trey Finn * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Marcus Hooten * | 21 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Cameron Golden | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Raeford Worsham | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Ed Townsel | 17 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -2.6 |
| Kelvin Downs | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Trapp * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Greg Gantt * | 36 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 19 | +11.6 |
| Jordan McCoy * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Dragan Sekelja * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Pablo Bertone * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Stefan Moody | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | +7.0 |
| Kelvin Penn | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Andre Mattison | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.6 |
| Chris Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.1 |
* = starter