Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Washington * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Finn * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Hooten * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Golden * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Townsel | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Downs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Worsham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| V. Sanford * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Benson * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Scott | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Derenbecker | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Pierre | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Vonderhaar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter