Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (58-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Myers * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ray Chambers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Deonata Jethroe * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Hunter Williams | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Warren | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Finn * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter