Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Myers * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ray Chambers * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tevin Calhoun * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Williams | 40 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Westley Hinton | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Mullahey | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Josh Warren | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Finn * | 42 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kendrick Washington * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Edward Townsel | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Golden | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Raeford Worsham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter