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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

2013 Team Stats (30 games)

73.9
PPG
64.0
Opp
+9.9
Margin
45.9%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
74.8%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.6
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.3
Adj PPG
59.1
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1290 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1292 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1099 (#50) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +16.3 (#14) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.1 (#14) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.839 (#25) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.4 More โ†’ 0.949 (#13) AdjNet +25.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.6 More โ†’ 0.950 (#13) AdjNet +25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 59.1 More โ†’ 0.800 (#14) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 61.2 More โ†’ 0.727 (#14) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 61.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.842 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.831 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1268 (#24) RD 99 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 82 - 73
2012-11-15 vs UTEP Miners W 72 - 51
2012-11-19 vs Long Beach State Beach W 94 - 72
2012-11-28 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 93 - 50
2012-12-01 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 85 - 57
2012-12-04 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 63 - 55
2012-12-08 @ Clemson Tigers W 66 - 54
2012-12-15 vs Florida Gators W 65 - 64
2012-12-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 89 - 64
2012-12-22 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 73 - 53
2012-12-23 @ Miami Hurricanes W 69 - 50
2012-12-25 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 68 - 67
2013-01-03 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 92 - 83
2013-01-05 vs Utah Utes W 60 - 57
2013-01-10 @ Oregon Ducks L 66 - 70
2013-01-12 @ Oregon State Beavers W 80 - 70
2013-01-19 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 71 - 54
2013-01-24 vs UCLA Bruins L 73 - 84
2013-01-26 vs USC Trojans W 74 - 50
2013-01-31 @ Washington Huskies W 57 - 53
2013-02-02 @ Washington State Cougars W 79 - 65
2013-02-06 vs Stanford Cardinal W 73 - 66
2013-02-10 vs California Golden Bears L 69 - 77
2013-02-14 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 71
2013-02-17 @ Utah Utes W 68 - 64
2013-02-20 vs Washington Huskies W 70 - 52
2013-02-23 vs Washington State Cougars W 73 - 56
2013-02-27 @ USC Trojans L 78 - 89
2013-03-02 @ UCLA Bruins L 69 - 74
2013-03-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 73 - 58
2013-03-14 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 79 - 69
2013-03-15 @ UCLA Bruins L 64 - 66
2013-03-21 vs Belmont Bruins W 81 - 64
2013-03-23 vs Harvard Crimson W 74 - 51
2013-03-28 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 70 - 73

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mark Lyons Mark Lyons G 35 30.3 15.6 1.9 2.8 1.1 0.1 2.7 10.0 8.8 236 32 7.4 10.5 44.2 34.5 85.2 0.09 66.5 52.4
Solomon Hill Solomon Hill F 35 33.0 13.4 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.6 2.2 8.4 12.5 276 32 8.6 11.2 46.8 42.1 78.4 2.32 68.8 55.8
Nick Johnson Nick Johnson G 35 31.4 11.5 3.6 3.2 1.9 0.6 1.9 7.4 11.6 289 32 9.0 12.3 45.6 38.0 69.2 3.24 65.8 52.3
Kevin Parrom Kevin Parrom G-F 35 23.6 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.1 4.9 10.0 252 32 7.9 14.7 47.7 38.0 76.6 4.15 72.4 57.8
Brandon Ashley Brandon Ashley F 35 20.5 7.5 5.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.1 8.9 184 32 5.8 12.0 52.4 100.0 72.3 1.76 72.7 53.5
Kaleb Tarczewski Kaleb Tarczewski C 35 22.0 6.6 6.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.8 8.6 205 32 6.4 12.5 54.1 0 65.9 2.2 66.5 54.1
Grant Jerrett Grant Jerrett F 34 17.8 5.2 3.6 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.6 3.9 6.3 97 31 3.1 7.8 39.8 42.2 83.3 -1.53 62.4 50.0
Jordin Mayes Jordin Mayes G 35 11.8 2.8 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.3 2.0 92 32 2.9 10.6 35.4 26.7 72.2 -0.38 55.8 43.0
Gabe York Gabe York G 15 5.8 2.4 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8 1.5 -15 14 -1.1 -8.0 40.7 31.6 50.0 -3.05 62.6 51.9
Angelo Chol Angelo Chol F 28 8.5 1.9 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 51 26 2.0 9.5 48.8 0 53.8 -0.16 57.8 48.8
Max Wiepking Max Wiepking F 8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 -28 8 -3.5 -62.2 60.0 50.0 100.0 -4.73 82.7 80.0
Quinton Crawford Quinton Crawford G 7 1.9 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 -25 7 -3.6 -75.4 0.0 0.0 0 -3.91 0.0 0.0
Drew Mellon Drew Mellon F 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 -19 6 -3.2 -78.8 0 0 0 -3.3 0 0
Jacob Hazzard Jacob Hazzard G 6 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 -0.8 -25 6 -4.2 -86.0 0.0 0.0 0 -4.04 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG