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Arizona

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History

2013 Team Stats (30 games)

73.9
PPG
63.6
Opp
+9.8
Margin
45.9%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
74.8%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.6
APG
13.1
TO
77.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1868 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1612 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1056 (#96) HCA +147 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 999 (#186) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +42.0 (#3) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +24.3 (#14) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.9 (#343) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.746 (#16) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.4 More → 0.839 (#29) NetEff +14.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.5 More → 0.871 (#11) AdjNet +16.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.6 More → 0.872 (#11) AdjNet +16.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.745 (#15) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.493 (#239) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.915 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#325) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.898 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.457 (#307) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 35 More → 1288 (#26) RD 98 | GP 35
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 929 (#311) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 82 - 73
2012-11-15 vs UTEP Miners W 72 - 51
2012-11-19 vs Long Beach State Beach W 94 - 72
2012-11-28 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 93 - 50
2012-12-01 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 85 - 57
2012-12-04 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 63 - 55
2012-12-08 @ Clemson Tigers W 66 - 54
2012-12-15 vs Florida Gators W 65 - 64
2012-12-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 89 - 64
2012-12-22 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 73 - 53
2012-12-23 @ Miami Hurricanes W 69 - 50
2012-12-25 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 68 - 67
2013-01-03 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 92 - 83
2013-01-05 vs Utah Utes W 60 - 57
2013-01-10 @ Oregon Ducks L 66 - 70
2013-01-12 @ Oregon State Beavers W 80 - 70
2013-01-19 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 71 - 54
2013-01-24 vs UCLA Bruins L 73 - 84
2013-01-26 vs USC Trojans W 74 - 50
2013-01-31 @ Washington Huskies W 57 - 53
2013-02-02 @ Washington State Cougars W 79 - 65
2013-02-06 vs Stanford Cardinal W 73 - 66
2013-02-10 vs California Golden Bears L 69 - 77
2013-02-14 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 58 - 71
2013-02-17 @ Utah Utes W 68 - 64
2013-02-20 vs Washington Huskies W 70 - 52
2013-02-23 vs Washington State Cougars W 73 - 56
2013-02-27 @ USC Trojans L 78 - 89
2013-03-02 @ UCLA Bruins L 69 - 74
2013-03-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 73 - 58
2013-03-14 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 79 - 69
2013-03-15 @ UCLA Bruins L 64 - 66
2013-03-21 vs Belmont Bruins W 81 - 64
2013-03-23 vs Harvard Crimson W 74 - 51
2013-03-28 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 70 - 73

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Lyons M. Lyons G 35 30.3 15.6 1.9 2.8 1.1 0.1 2.7 10.0 8.8 219 6.3 9.0 44.2 34.5 85.2 0.67 66.5 52.4
S. Hill S. Hill F 35 33.0 13.4 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.6 2.2 8.4 12.5 - - - 46.8 42.1 78.4 1.99 68.8 55.8
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 35 31.4 11.5 3.6 3.2 1.9 0.6 1.9 7.4 11.6 302 8.6 11.6 45.6 38.0 69.2 2.28 65.8 52.3
K. Parrom K. Parrom G-F 35 23.6 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.1 4.9 10.0 256 7.3 12.3 47.7 38.0 76.6 1.8 72.4 57.8
B. Ashley B. Ashley F 35 20.5 7.5 5.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.1 8.9 200 5.7 11.5 52.4 100.0 72.3 1.55 72.7 53.5
K. Tarczewski K. Tarczewski C 35 22.0 6.6 6.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.8 8.6 189 5.4 10.7 54.1 0 65.9 1.35 66.5 54.1
G. Jerrett G. Jerrett F 34 17.8 5.2 3.6 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.6 3.9 6.3 106 3.2 6.5 39.8 42.2 83.3 0.06 62.4 50.0
J. Mayes J. Mayes G 35 11.8 2.8 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.3 2.0 154 4.4 11.9 35.4 26.7 72.2 1.16 55.8 43.0
G. York G. York G 15 5.8 2.4 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8 1.5 - - - 40.7 31.6 50.0 -0.02 62.6 51.9
A. Chol A. Chol F 28 8.5 1.9 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 83 3.0 11.4 48.8 0 53.8 0.41 57.8 48.8
M. Wiepking M. Wiepking F 8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 - - - 60.0 50.0 100.0 - 82.7 80.0
Q. Crawford Q. Crawford G 7 1.9 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 -2 -0.2 -1.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.14 0.0 0.0
D. Mellon D. Mellon F 6 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Hazzard J. Hazzard G 6 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 -0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG