Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (25.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -28 (57-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Johnson * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Hill * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| B. Ashley * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Mayes | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Tarczewski | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 | - |
| G. Jerrett | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Parrom | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Chol | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. York | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Mellon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hazzard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Wiepking | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams, Jr. * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Jackson * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5 | - |
| J. Gray * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| D. Kravic * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Tolbert * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Crockett | 29 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Robinson | 22 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Hannahs | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Tapsoba | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Gotcher | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Nurse | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Lammert | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Adams | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter