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2013-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Log Adjusted 26.5% 73.5% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson * 36 3-9 1-2 2-2 7 1 3 1 3 9 9 -
M. Lyons * 35 6-12 2-6 9-10 1 0 1 0 3 23 10 -
S. Hill * 32 7-11 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 16 10 -
K. Parrom * 29 2-8 1-5 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
K. Tarczewski * 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 4 4 -
G. Jerrett 24 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
B. Ashley 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Mayes 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas * 40 7-14 3-6 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 20 5 -
S. Thompson * 38 3-8 2-3 3-4 8 1 1 0 1 11 12 -
L. Smith Jr. * 35 2-7 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 1 0 6 11 -
A. Craft * 33 3-9 0-0 7-9 5 5 1 0 2 13 13 -
A. Williams * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 2 5 -
L. Ross 18 5-8 2-2 5-5 1 0 0 0 1 17 9 -
S. Scott 13 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
E. Ravenel 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter