Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Johnson * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Hill * | 35 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Ashley * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Tarczewski * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| G. Jerrett | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| K. Parrom | 20 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Mayes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Chol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Starks * | 37 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| D. Collier * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Burton * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| J. Reid * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Nelson * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| L. Morris-Walker | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O. Schaftenaar | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Barton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter