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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Log Adjusted 70.0% 30.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 31 5-15 1-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 13 -2 -
N. Johnson * 30 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 10 4 -
S. Hill * 29 3-7 0-2 1-2 4 4 0 0 5 7 3 -
K. Parrom * 27 3-5 2-3 3-4 4 1 1 0 0 11 12 -
K. Tarczewski * 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 2 2 6 12 -
G. Jerrett 24 4-5 4-5 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 14 15 -
B. Ashley 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 0 7 -
J. Mayes 13 3-6 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 8 3 -
A. Chol 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 38 6-12 2-3 0-0 1 9 1 0 4 14 9 -
J. Adams * 32 1-5 1-4 3-3 2 2 5 0 0 6 10 -
S. Muhammad * 28 6-15 2-5 4-5 3 0 2 0 0 18 8 -
T. Wear * 17 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
K. Anderson 33 8-16 0-1 1-1 7 3 1 1 2 17 11 -
D. Wear 31 4-6 2-2 0-0 9 2 1 0 0 10 16 -
N. Powell 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Parker 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter