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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carson * 38 5-12 2-4 3-4 4 3 2 0 6 15 6 -
C. Felix * 37 6-9 2-3 8-12 3 1 1 2 2 22 18 -
J. Gilling * 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 3 8 -
J. Bachynski * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 3 8 3 -
C. Colvin * 23 2-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 3 4 3 -
E. Gordon 27 1-6 0-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 2 3 1 -
E. Jacobsen 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Pateev 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
B. Barnes 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
K. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson * 36 6-11 2-4 3-4 4 3 3 0 0 17 16 -
S. Hill * 32 3-8 1-2 5-5 4 4 3 0 3 12 12 -
M. Lyons * 29 2-10 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 8 -3 -
K. Parrom * 28 4-8 2-5 3-3 7 2 2 0 1 13 15 -
K. Tarczewski * 26 4-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 3 9 11 -
B. Ashley 18 2-3 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 0 6 10 -
G. Jerrett 15 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Mayes 12 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
D. Mellon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wiepking 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Hazzard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Q. Crawford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter