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2012-12-25

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 2 19 25 -
J. Franklin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 6 1 0 1 9 23 -
X. Thames * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 4 11 13 -
D. Stephens * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 3 8 -
J.J. O'Brien * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 10 11 -
W. Shepard 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 5 13 -
J. Rahon 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Spencer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 6 11 -
D. Polee II 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 21 31 -
N. Johnson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 11 15 -
M. Lyons * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 9 10 -
B. Ashley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 9 15 -
K. Tarczewski * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Parrom 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 17 25 -
G. Jerrett 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 1 8 -
J. Mayes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Chol 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter