Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | - |
| X. Thames * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| W. Shepard | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Rahon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Polee II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hill * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 31 | - |
| N. Johnson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Ashley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| K. Tarczewski * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Parrom | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| G. Jerrett | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| J. Mayes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Chol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter