Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +23 (74-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Saunders * | 37 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Chambers * | 36 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Rivard * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Webster * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Smith * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Moundou-Missi | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Travis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Nesbitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Okolie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Cummins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hall | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hill * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| N. Johnson * | 34 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 33 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| K. Tarczewski * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Parrom * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Mayes | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Ashley | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Chol | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. York | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wiepking | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Jerrett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter