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Arizona

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

67.3
PPG
67.3
Opp
+0.0
Margin
40.0%
FG%
31.4%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
38.0
RPG
10.7
APG
14.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.1
Adj PPG
59.1
Adj Opp PPG
#48
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1186 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1128 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1037 (#116) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +9.7 (#47) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +9.9 (#45) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.757 (#53) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.7 More → 0.873 (#40) AdjNet +16.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.875 (#40) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.693 (#48) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 60.8 More → 0.636 (#57) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 60.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.719 (#65) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.708 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 31 More → 1109 (#99) RD 117 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-07 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 73 - 64
2011-11-09 vs Duquesne Dukes W 67 - 59
2011-11-13 vs Ball State Cardinals W 73 - 63
2011-11-17 @ St. John's Red Storm W 81 - 72
2011-11-18 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 57 - 67
2011-11-23 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 57 - 61
2011-11-29 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 83 - 76
2011-12-03 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 53 - 39
2011-12-07 @ Florida Gators L 72 - 78
2011-12-10 vs Clemson Tigers W 63 - 47
2011-12-17 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 60 - 71
2011-12-20 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 85 - 73
2011-12-22 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 100 - 60
2011-12-31 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 68 - 51
2012-01-05 @ UCLA Bruins L 58 - 65
2012-01-08 @ USC Trojans W 57 - 46
2012-01-14 vs Oregon Ducks L 57 - 59
2012-01-19 @ Utah Utes W 77 - 51
2012-01-26 vs Washington State Cougars W 85 - 61
2012-01-28 vs Washington Huskies L 67 - 69
2012-02-04 @ Stanford Cardinal W 56 - 43
2012-02-09 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 71 - 57
2012-02-16 @ Washington State Cougars W 76 - 72
2012-02-18 @ Washington Huskies L 70 - 79
2012-02-23 vs USC Trojans W 70 - 54
2012-02-25 vs UCLA Bruins W 65 - 63
2012-03-04 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 80 - 87
2012-03-08 vs UCLA Bruins W 66 - 58
2012-03-09 vs Oregon State Beavers W 72 - 61
2012-03-10 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 51 - 53
2012-03-14 vs Bucknell Bison L 54 - 65

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Solomon Hill Solomon Hill F 31 32.2 13.5 7.8 2.6 1.1 0.5 2.4 3.1 19.9 164 30 5.5 7.1 47.4 40.6 74.6 1.65 170.0 54.1
Kyle Fogg Kyle Fogg G 31 31.7 12.7 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 1.9 3.3 14.9 186 30 6.2 8.3 41.6 39.6 80.5 3.23 165.1 51.0
Jesse Perry Jesse Perry F 31 30.1 12.1 7.5 1.1 0.4 0.6 1.5 3.3 16.9 182 30 6.1 8.4 44.1 27.8 65.5 2.11 149.0 46.6
Nick Johnson Nick Johnson G 31 28.0 8.5 3.2 2.4 0.7 0.6 2.0 2.5 10.8 158 30 5.3 8.1 35.9 27.8 72.0 2.49 147.2 42.3
Josiah Turner Josiah Turner G 25 24.7 7.2 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.2 2.1 2.6 9.1 56 24 2.3 4.2 39.1 9.1 74.1 -2.05 117.9 39.8
Brendon Lavender Brendon Lavender G 31 16.0 5.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 5.5 41 30 1.4 3.8 48.7 45.9 80.0 -1.18 193.0 70.5
Kevin Parrom Kevin Parrom G-F 18 15.4 5.1 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.9 7.0 99 18 5.5 15.2 42.9 36.8 61.1 2.78 107.2 52.9
Jordin Mayes Jordin Mayes G 26 17.8 4.8 1.7 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 6.3 109 26 4.2 9.9 22.9 6.7 83.3 0.58 166.0 24.3
Angelo Chol Angelo Chol F 31 12.6 2.9 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 5.3 33 30 1.1 4.2 57.1 0 100.0 -0.5 199.4 57.1
Kyryl Natyazhko Kyryl Natyazhko C 19 7.7 1.3 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.6 8 19 0.4 2.4 50.0 33.3 25.0 -1.54 123.0 56.2
Max Wiepking Max Wiepking F 3 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Sidiki Johnson Sidiki Johnson C 2 2.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -0.7 56.8 0
Alex Jacobson Alex Jacobson C 7 3.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 -10 6 -1.7 -23.1 0 0 0 -2.45 0 0
Dondre Wise Dondre Wise G 5 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Robert Arvizu Robert Arvizu G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quinton Crawford Quinton Crawford G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
Drew Mellon Drew Mellon F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG