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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% -
Bradley-Terry 94.5% 5.5% -
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wear * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 4 14 -
J. Anderson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 14 24 -
T. Lamb * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 5 4 5 -
L. Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 1 3 17 26 -
T. Wear * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 3 2 10 19 -
N. Powell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Smith 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 7 11 -
A. Stover 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 3 0 6 25 34 -
K. Fogg * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 3 13 17 -
J. Perry * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 1 2 16 28 -
N. Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 4 2 5 11 -
J. Mayes * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 4 -
B. Lavender 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 7 -
K. Natyazhko 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Chol 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter