Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.1% | 23.9% | -6.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hill * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Perry * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| K. Fogg * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Mayes * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Natyazhko * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| N. Johnson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Turner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Parrom | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Lavender | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Chol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| R. Hood * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Bryant * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Moultrie * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| W. Lewis | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| D. Smith | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| J. Steele | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter