Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Hill * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jesse Perry * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Kyle Fogg * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordin Mayes * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kyryl Natyazhko * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Nick Johnson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Josiah Turner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Parrom | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brendon Lavender | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Jacobson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Angelo Chol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Bost * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Hood * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Deville Smith | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter