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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% -
Bradley-Terry 5.9% 94.1% -
Margin 81.9% 18.1% -8.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 36 2-7 1-4 8-13 10 1 0 1 3 13 15 -
K. Fogg * 35 4-12 1-5 2-2 9 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
N. Johnson * 32 6-14 2-5 6-7 4 4 0 0 3 20 11 -
J. Perry * 27 5-10 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 1 1 13 8 -
J. Turner * 27 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 -
B. Lavender 25 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
A. Chol 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 6 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wroten * 34 8-22 0-2 6-9 9 2 0 0 2 22 9 -
A. Gaddy * 32 2-8 0-2 5-6 2 6 0 0 0 9 9 -
T. Ross * 30 11-19 1-8 2-3 5 1 5 1 1 25 17 -
D. Gant * 25 1-5 0-3 1-2 4 0 1 2 0 3 5 -
B. Sherrer * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. N'Diaye 28 3-8 0-0 2-4 12 0 1 4 1 8 16 -
C. Wilcox 27 3-5 2-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
D. Simmons 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Player #61045 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
S. Kemp Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter