Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rahon * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| X. Thames * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -1 | - |
| G. Green * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Franklin | 15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Franklin | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fogg * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Hill * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Perry * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Mayes * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Natyazhko * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Johnson | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Turner | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Chol | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Parrom | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Lavender | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter