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2012-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 79.2% 20.8% -
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perry * 32 5-13 0-1 3-3 6 1 0 0 4 13 3 -
S. Hill * 32 7-15 0-3 2-6 11 1 0 0 5 16 8 -
J. Turner * 28 2-6 0-0 5-6 6 3 1 0 2 9 11 -
N. Johnson * 27 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
K. Fogg * 27 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 7 3 -
J. Mayes 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Lavender 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Chol 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
K. Parrom 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
K. Natyazhko 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jones * 36 5-16 0-5 3-4 5 4 3 0 3 13 6 -
J. Anderson * 35 3-8 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 7 5 -
T. Lamb * 31 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 5 4 0 1 6 13 -
T. Wear * 22 7-9 0-0 6-6 5 0 0 3 0 20 19 -
D. Wear * 22 6-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 3 14 10 -
B. Lane 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Powell 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Stover 12 0-1 0-0 3-6 3 0 0 2 0 3 7 -

* = starter