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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 95.1% 4.9% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -2 (57-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Joseph * 40 6-12 1-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 13 5 -
E.J. Singler * 38 4-7 1-3 3-4 4 7 1 0 2 12 15 -
G. Sim * 33 5-12 2-5 0-1 3 3 1 1 3 12 5 -
T. Woods * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 4 7 -
J. Jacob * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Nared 23 1-2 1-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
O. Ashaolu 18 5-10 1-1 2-4 4 0 2 0 0 13 9 -
J. Loyd 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Emory 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill * 38 6-9 3-3 1-1 7 2 2 1 4 16 15 -
K. Fogg * 34 1-9 1-3 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Perry * 33 2-4 0-0 4-8 6 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
J. Turner * 29 4-11 1-3 2-4 3 0 2 1 3 11 3 -
N. Johnson * 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 2 0 2 1 7 7 -
J. Mayes 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
B. Lavender 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Parrom 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
A. Chol 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -

* = starter