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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 4.4% 95.6% -
Margin 85.3% 14.7% -9.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% -
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perry * 35 4-8 0-0 7-8 11 3 0 3 1 15 23 -
K. Fogg * 35 7-17 2-8 7-9 3 1 1 0 1 23 10 -
S. Hill * 35 6-8 2-2 2-2 3 4 3 1 4 16 15 -
J. Turner * 31 1-6 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 1 3 3 2 -
N. Johnson * 24 1-5 0-3 3-4 5 2 2 0 4 5 5 -
B. Lavender 27 6-8 6-8 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 18 13 -
A. Chol 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mayes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Colvin * 34 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 9 3 0 2 5 11 -
T. Lockett * 34 6-12 1-2 8-8 7 5 4 0 3 21 22 -
J. Gilling * 32 7-8 5-6 2-2 2 2 0 1 2 21 16 -
C. Felix * 31 7-12 1-2 8-9 3 2 3 0 0 23 19 -
J. Bachynski * 30 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 6 2 11 10 -
K. Cain 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 4 6 -
C. Creekmur 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
R. Pateev 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter