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2012-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 67.4% 32.6% -
Bradley-Terry 5.2% 94.8% -
Margin 80.6% 19.4% -7.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 79.5% 20.5% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: USC Trojans -11 (46-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perry * 33 9-13 0-1 2-4 3 1 1 0 1 20 11 -
N. Johnson * 28 2-9 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
K. Fogg * 28 2-6 1-4 5-5 3 3 0 2 3 10 9 -
S. Hill * 26 3-7 0-1 5-6 10 0 2 0 3 11 13 -
J. Turner * 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 2 7 -
J. Mayes 22 2-7 0-3 0-1 4 3 2 0 1 4 5 -
K. Parrom 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Lavender 12 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 -
A. Chol 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Natyazhko 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Moore * 36 1-10 0-6 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 2 1 -
M. Jones * 36 3-13 1-6 7-8 0 0 3 0 3 14 1 -
B. Wesley * 36 4-13 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
D. Dedmon * 21 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
A. Fuller * 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
J. Blasczyk 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Jackson 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
E. Strangis 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Allen 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter