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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2009 Team Stats (34 games)

69.6
PPG
60.3
Opp
+9.2
Margin
47.9%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
73.8%
FT%
31.3
RPG
15.5
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.6
Adj PPG
55.4
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1292 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1258 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 1091 (#55) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +16.4 (#16) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.6 (#17) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.829 (#19) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.3 More โ†’ 0.954 (#14) AdjNet +26.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.6 More โ†’ 0.956 (#13) AdjNet +26.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 55.4 More โ†’ 0.800 (#16) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 55.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.4 More โ†’ 0.709 (#18) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.840 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.826 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1242 (#31) RD 103 | GP 35

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-11-14 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 80 - 64
2008-11-18 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 59 - 52
2008-11-23 vs Pepperdine Waves W 61 - 40
2008-11-27 @ Charlotte 49ers W 84 - 56
2008-11-28 @ Baylor Bears L 78 - 87
2008-11-30 vs UTEP Miners W 88 - 58
2008-12-04 vs Jackson State Tigers W 81 - 60
2008-12-07 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 64 - 44
2008-12-14 vs IUPUI Jaguars W 59 - 58
2008-12-20 vs BYU Cougars W 76 - 75
2008-12-23 vs Idaho State Bengals W 90 - 55
2008-12-29 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 84 - 47
2009-01-02 @ Stanford Cardinal W 90 - 60
2009-01-04 @ California Golden Bears L 71 - 81
2009-01-08 vs Oregon State Beavers W 69 - 38
2009-01-10 vs Oregon Ducks W 76 - 58
2009-01-15 @ USC Trojans L 49 - 61
2009-01-17 @ UCLA Bruins W 61 - 58
2009-01-21 @ Arizona Wildcats W 53 - 47
2009-01-29 vs Washington State Cougars L 55 - 65
2009-01-31 vs Washington Huskies L 71 - 84
2009-02-05 @ Oregon Ducks W 66 - 57
2009-02-07 @ Oregon State Beavers W 49 - 38
2009-02-12 vs UCLA Bruins W 74 - 67
2009-02-15 vs USC Trojans W 65 - 53
2009-02-22 vs Arizona Wildcats W 70 - 68
2009-02-26 @ Washington Huskies L 70 - 73
2009-02-28 @ Washington State Cougars L 49 - 51
2009-03-05 vs Stanford Cardinal L 64 - 74
2009-03-07 vs California Golden Bears W 83 - 66
2009-03-12 vs Arizona Wildcats W 68 - 56
2009-03-13 @ Washington Huskies W 75 - 65
2009-03-14 vs USC Trojans L 63 - 66
2009-03-20 vs Temple Owls W 66 - 57
2009-03-22 @ Syracuse Orange L 67 - 78

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.