Arizona State
2009 Team Stats (34 games)
69.6
PPG
60.3
Opp
+9.2
Margin
47.9%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
73.8%
FT%
31.3
RPG
15.5
APG
11.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.6
Adj PPG
55.4
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1292 (#32) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1258 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1091 (#55) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +16.4 (#16) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +15.6 (#17) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.829 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.954 (#14) | AdjNet +26.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.956 (#13) | AdjNet +26.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.800 (#16) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 55.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.709 (#18) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.840 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.826 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1242 (#31) | RD 103 | GP 35 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.