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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Log Adjusted 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ayres 42 9-10 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 18 14 -
D. Glasser 42 0-3 0-1 6-6 5 4 0 0 0 6 12 -
J. Harden 37 8-15 1-4 7-9 4 1 0 0 3 24 11 -
R. Kuksiks 36 2-8 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. McMillan 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Abbott 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
J. Shipp 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
E. Boateng 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 42 4-14 0-4 6-6 5 3 0 0 3 14 5 -
J. Shipp 42 6-11 3-5 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 16 9 -
N. Dragovic 36 3-8 3-8 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 9 9 -
A. Aboya 34 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
J. Holiday 28 1-5 0-3 0-1 4 5 0 1 2 2 5 -
M. Roll 23 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Keefe 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Gordon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
J. Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter