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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% +5.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 โœ— (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—

Actual: UCLA Bruins -3 (58-61). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Ayres 42 9-10 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 18 14 -
D. Glasser 42 0-3 0-1 6-6 5 4 0 0 0 6 12 -
James Harden 37 8-15 1-4 7-9 4 1 0 0 3 24 11 -
Rihards Kuksiks 36 2-8 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. McMillan 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Ty Abbott 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
Jerren Shipp 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
E. Boateng 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darren Collison 42 4-14 0-4 6-6 5 3 0 0 3 14 5 -
Josh Shipp 42 6-11 3-5 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 16 9 -
Nikola Dragovic 36 3-8 3-8 0-0 6 1 1 1 1 9 9 -
A. Aboya 34 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
Jrue Holiday 28 1-5 0-3 0-1 4 5 0 1 2 2 5 -
M. Roll 23 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Keefe 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Drew Gordon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Jerime Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter