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2009-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (26.9 off)
Pythagorean 15.6% 84.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +31 (69-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson 31 2-9 0-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 4 3 -
R. Claitt 28 2-4 1-3 0-1 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
C. Haynes 27 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 3 -4 -
R. Schaftenaar 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
S. Tarver 24 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
L. Wallace 20 6-10 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 13 2 -
D. Deane 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
J. Tarver 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hampton 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. McConnell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Sturner 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
K. McShane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bjornstad 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 32 10-11 1-2 1-1 4 7 2 0 1 22 23 -
R. Kuksiks 27 5-10 3-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 13 7 -
T. Abbott 26 2-5 0-3 0-1 5 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. McMillan 24 2-4 1-2 2-2 6 4 1 0 2 7 12 -
D. Glasser 24 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 5 1 0 0 3 8 -
J. Ayres 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 1 7 8 -
J. Shipp 19 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 7 8 -
E. Boateng 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Rohde 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Woods 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
N. Fricchione 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter