Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +12 (61-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kuksiks | 36 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Harden | 34 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Glasser | 33 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Ayres | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Abbott | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Shipp | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Boateng | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. McMillan | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Rohde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gibson | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| D. Hackett | 36 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 35 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 34 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Lewis | 33 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| D. Smith | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Simmons | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter