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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 78.4% 21.6% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Log Adjusted 95.4% 4.6% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -11 (38-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McMillan 39 5-9 4-7 0-1 4 4 5 0 2 14 16 -
J. Harden 39 2-9 1-6 4-6 4 3 0 1 5 9 3 -
J. Ayres 38 6-7 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 15 15 -
T. Abbott 34 0-8 0-8 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Shipp 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Kuksiks 24 3-7 3-7 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
E. Boateng 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Claitt 40 5-8 1-3 2-3 3 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
C. Haynes 38 2-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 0 -
R. Schaftenaar 37 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 2 5 9 4 -
S. Tarver 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
O. Johnson 20 1-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 3 2 -
L. Wallace 19 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 9 0 -
K. McShane 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Deane 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Hampton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McConnell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter