Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abbott | 35 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Ayres | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J. Harden | 34 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 10-13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 27 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D. Glasser | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Shipp | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. McMillan | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Boateng | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Rohde | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rogers | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Jerrells | 35 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| H. Dugat | 32 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Carter | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| L. Dunn | 30 | 7-16 | 6-13 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Q. Acy | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Diene | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Ellis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter