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2009-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 40 2-10 0-5 6-8 6 5 1 0 2 10 10 -
D. Glasser 37 1-8 0-5 1-2 3 5 0 0 3 3 0 -
R. Kuksiks 37 6-13 6-13 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 20 15 -
T. Abbott 31 7-11 6-10 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 20 11 -
J. Ayres 24 3-5 0-0 3-6 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
E. Boateng 15 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. McMillan 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 3 7 -
J. Shipp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Flynn 40 3-6 1-2 4-4 1 7 0 0 2 11 11 -
E. Devendorf 40 6-15 5-11 4-4 2 3 2 0 1 21 12 -
A. Rautins 34 5-9 3-7 4-4 4 5 1 0 2 17 16 -
P. Harris 28 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 0 1 4 12 -
A. Onuaku 25 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 12 5 -
R. Jackson 23 5-8 0-0 3-7 8 0 1 0 2 13 12 -
K. Ongenaet 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -

* = starter