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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 75.1% 24.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Log Adjusted 93.2% 6.8% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Harden 40 11-21 5-10 9-10 5 2 2 3 3 36 24 -
T. Abbott 38 1-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 3 5 -
D. Glasser 36 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 7 1 0 5 2 2 -
J. Shipp 26 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 1 1 7 5 -
J. Ayres 25 4-6 0-0 5-5 8 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
J. McMillan 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
E. Boateng 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
T. Rohde 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Woods 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 36 6-14 4-10 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 18 3 -
J. Catron 28 3-3 1-1 2-4 6 1 1 0 2 9 12 -
G. Sim 25 1-6 1-4 2-2 3 2 3 1 3 5 5 -
J. Crittle 21 1-4 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
D. Wiley 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
L. Longmire 17 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Dunigan 17 2-5 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 1 1 8 8 -
M. Humphrey 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Brown 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Odia 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter