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2009-03-14

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 6-11 2-6 5-8 6 1 1 0 1 19 15 -
D. DeRozan 40 10-16 1-3 4-7 3 4 1 0 0 25 17 -
D. Lewis 39 4-10 2-7 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 13 7 -
T. Gibson 37 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 1 2 4 1 7 11 -
M. Simmons 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
L. Washington 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Wilkinson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Vucevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ayres 40 9-11 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 18 16 -
D. Glasser 38 7-13 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 16 8 -
R. Kuksiks 36 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Harden 35 3-9 3-5 1-2 4 8 2 0 3 10 12 -
T. Abbott 32 4-6 3-5 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
J. Shipp 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter