Alcorn State
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 621 (#351) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 795 (#330) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 943 (#269) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -18.2 (#356) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -18.6 (#361) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.111 (#356) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.111 (#356) | NetEff -19.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.060 (#354) | AdjNet -23.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.057 (#354) | AdjNet -24.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.171 (#356) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 80.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.267 (#355) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.155 (#352) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.171 (#350) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 757 (#337) | RD 137 | GP 32 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tycen McDaniels
|
- | 32 | 27.2 | 12.0 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 8.3 | 10.7 | -192 | 24 | -8.0 | -12.1 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 75.4 | -2.26 | 58.7 | 52.8 |
Jameel Morris
|
PG | 30 | 29.5 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 7.5 | -148 | 23 | -6.4 | -8.7 | 44.9 | 29.0 | 78.9 | 3.17 | 53.8 | 48.5 |
Shane Lancaster
|
- | 32 | 28.6 | 10.8 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 7.2 | -222 | 24 | -9.2 | -12.6 | 42.0 | 43.0 | 72.5 | -4.08 | 57.4 | 53.6 |
Nick Woodard
|
SF | 32 | 28.7 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 8.0 | 5.5 | -222 | 24 | -9.2 | -13.0 | 40.2 | 30.8 | 61.7 | -4.27 | 48.7 | 46.5 |
Omari Hamilton
|
F | 32 | 21.4 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.3 | 5.9 | -141 | 24 | -5.9 | -11.2 | 44.3 | 35.4 | 69.6 | -2.07 | 53.0 | 48.5 |
Davian Williams
|
PG | 32 | 26.4 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 4.3 | -179 | 24 | -7.5 | -11.9 | 36.2 | 32.5 | 68.0 | -2.17 | 47.0 | 44.2 |
Travis Roberts
|
- | 31 | 16.5 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 1.6 | -214 | 23 | -9.3 | -26.3 | 32.3 | 29.1 | 50.0 | -7.83 | 42.4 | 41.5 |
Mike Jones
|
- | 13 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 4.2 | -89 | 7 | -12.7 | -39.2 | 39.1 | 11.1 | 47.1 | -2.61 | 42.1 | 40.2 |
Bryson Calamese
|
- | 31 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | -84 | 24 | -3.5 | -11.6 | 34.4 | 28.6 | 73.3 | 0.15 | 44.3 | 38.7 |
William Henderson
|
- | 11 | 10.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | -35 | 6 | -5.8 | -24.1 | 40.6 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 0.29 | 42.4 | 42.2 |
Jeremy Ellis
|
- | 22 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | -69 | 16 | -4.3 | -29.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 83.3 | -2.97 | 48.6 | 42.9 |
Ray Glasgow
|
SG | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Alex Hawkins
|
SG | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1815 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tycen McDanielsShane LancasterJameel MorrisNick WoodardDavian Williams
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 299-475 | 62.9 | 598 | Tycen McDaniels 28% (168 pts) | Jameel Morris 22% (130 pts) | Tycen McDaniels 23% (40 misses) | Jameel Morris 17% (30 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 189-472 | 40.0 | 378 | Tycen McDaniels 20% (76 pts) | Jameel Morris 15% (58 pts) | Jameel Morris 20% (57 misses) | Tycen McDaniels 17% (49 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 35-108 | 32.4 | 70 | Tycen McDaniels 23% (16 pts) | Jameel Morris 14% (10 pts) | Tycen McDaniels 21% (15 misses) | Nick Woodard 19% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 11-39 | 28.2 | 22 | Jameel Morris 18% (4 pts) | Nick Woodard 18% (4 pts) | Davian Williams 18% (5 misses) | Shane Lancaster 14% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 32-118 | 27.1 | 64 | Davian Williams 31% (20 pts) | Tycen McDaniels 22% (14 pts) | Tycen McDaniels 19% (16 misses) | Davian Williams 15% (13 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 26-68 | 38.2 | 78 | Shane Lancaster 54% (42 pts) | Nick Woodard 12% (9 pts) | Shane Lancaster 40% (17 misses) | Nick Woodard 19% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 16-46 | 34.8 | 48 | Shane Lancaster 56% (27 pts) | Nick Woodard 19% (9 pts) | Shane Lancaster 30% (9 misses) | Nick Woodard 20% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 68-219 | 31.1 | 204 | Shane Lancaster 25% (51 pts) | Nick Woodard 22% (45 pts) | Nick Woodard 21% (32 misses) | Davian Williams 18% (27 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 22-74 | 29.7 | 66 | Davian Williams 27% (18 pts) | Omari Hamilton 23% (15 pts) | Davian Williams 33% (17 misses) | Jameel Morris 19% (10 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 65-196 | 33.2 | 195 | Shane Lancaster 25% (48 pts) | Davian Williams 23% (45 pts) | Davian Williams 20% (26 misses) | Shane Lancaster 17% (22 misses) |