Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M Rattlers | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Chatman | 34 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +7.7 |
| Jaquan Sanders | 33 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Micah Octave | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-8 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | -3.3 |
| Tyler Shirley | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -3.8 |
| Antonio Baker | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -5.2 |
| Kaleb Washington | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Lenard Taylor Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +7.5 |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woodard | 35 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -4.5 |
| Shane Lancaster | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Davian Williams | 30 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Jameel Morris | 30 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +6.8 |
| Tycen McDaniels | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | -11.3 |
| Bryson Calamese | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Travis Roberts | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -21.2 |
| Omari Hamilton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.9 |
| Jeremy Ellis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
* = starter