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2026-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Florida A&M Rattlers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 70.6% 29.4% -
Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% -
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida A&M Rattlers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Chatman 34 4-7 3-3 1-1 7 2 1 1 0 12 16 -
J. Sanders 33 5-10 3-7 4-4 2 8 0 0 4 17 13 -
M. Octave 33 3-8 1-4 2-8 6 3 5 2 1 9 16 -
T. Shirley 31 5-11 1-2 2-2 5 3 2 0 1 13 11 -
A. Baker Jr. 23 2-6 0-1 7-8 2 5 0 2 2 11 12 -
K. Washington 21 5-10 1-2 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 15 10 -
A. Boldin Jr. 16 4-6 0-1 1-3 4 2 0 1 1 9 9 -
L. Taylor Jr. 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Woodard 35 6-11 1-1 1-2 7 3 1 0 1 14 13 -
S. Lancaster 32 4-9 2-5 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 13 9 -
D. Williams 30 4-13 0-3 0-0 6 2 3 1 0 8 7 -
J. Morris 30 6-7 0-1 3-3 3 7 1 0 2 15 17 -
T. McDaniels 30 3-5 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 2 3 11 9 -
B. Calamese 15 2-4 0-0 6-6 1 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
T. Roberts 13 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
O. Hamilton 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Ellis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter