Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Tigers | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Coffee III | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Ballard | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Ward | 30 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Munoz | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| J. Muttilib | 24 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Franklin | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Jones | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Perkins | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morris | 37 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. Woodard | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Lancaster | 27 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Williams | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. McDaniels | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| O. Hamilton | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| B. Calamese | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Roberts | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Ellis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter