Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +3 (89-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lancaster | 34 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -2.7 |
| D. Williams | 33 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - |
| T. McDaniels | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -5.8 |
| N. Woodard | 26 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | -2.9 |
| J. Morris | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -11.1 |
| B. Calamese | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +11.6 |
| O. Hamilton | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +0.3 |
| M. Jones | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +9.2 |
| T. Roberts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| W. Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| J. Ellis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ruffin | 35 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 12-13 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 23 | +0.2 |
| D. Ree | 31 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | -3.9 |
| D. McMillian | 31 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +4.3 |
| D. Williams | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 25 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -10.7 |
| T. Hoover | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.3 |
| R. Thomas | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -3.6 |
| D. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.2 |
| K. Butler | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.5 |
* = starter