Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Florida A&M Rattlers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida A&M Rattlers +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morris | 36 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | -5.0 |
| T. McDaniels | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | -2.8 |
| S. Lancaster | 34 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.4 |
| D. Williams | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -6.3 |
| N. Woodard | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +4.2 |
| O. Hamilton | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -13.1 |
| T. Roberts | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.8 |
| B. Calamese | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanders | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | -5.7 |
| M. Octave | 34 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +6.8 |
| T. Shirley | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +0.8 |
| J. Chatman | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +6.8 |
| M. Ndalama | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +5.0 |
| A. Baker Jr. | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +14.8 |
| A. Knowles | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +0.2 |
| K. Washington | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter