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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% -
Margin 92.5% 7.5% -13.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 73.9% 26.1% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Log Adjusted 93.5% 6.5% -
Points Off/Def 77.1% 22.9% -

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Young * 35 5-14 1-7 7-7 3 2 1 0 1 18 9 -6.5
I. Scott * 33 3-6 1-2 5-7 4 3 1 1 2 12 13 -2.7
C. Wagner * 32 4-12 2-9 4-4 5 2 3 0 1 14 11 -6.8
M. Harding * 27 4-12 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 8 -1 -4.5
X. Hall * 24 4-8 0-2 4-5 2 3 3 0 6 12 6 -5.2
J. Van Buggenhout 24 2-7 2-5 0-2 0 2 3 0 2 6 2 +4.5
E. St. Bernard 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 1 1 2 9 -
B. Alocen 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 +3.0

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Morris * 34 7-13 2-4 2-2 5 1 2 1 1 18 13 -0.1
T. McDaniels * 33 4-10 0-1 4-6 10 1 3 1 4 12 13 +2.1
N. Woodard * 33 4-9 0-3 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 8 9 +1.4
O. Hamilton * 23 3-7 1-3 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 8 7 -10.4
S. Lancaster * 19 5-8 1-4 2-3 0 0 0 1 1 13 5 -4.8
D. Williams 26 6-8 2-3 0-2 4 2 5 0 4 14 13 +8.3
M. Jones 12 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 3 4 +9.4
T. Roberts 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.2
J. Ellis 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +4.2
B. Calamese 5 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 +2.3
W. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0

* = starter