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Alcorn State Braves 77
@
Alabama State Hornets 65
2026-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - ✗
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 ✗ (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% - ✗
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% - ✗

Actual: Alabama State Hornets -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McDaniels 40 6-12 0-0 10-13 9 2 4 3 5 22 23 -
J. Morris 38 7-15 0-2 8-10 5 3 2 0 2 22 15 -
O. Hamilton 37 5-8 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 13 15 -
S. Lancaster 34 1-8 0-4 0-2 4 5 1 2 1 2 5 -
N. Woodard 29 3-5 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 10 10 -
D. Williams 20 3-7 1-5 1-1 4 3 1 0 0 8 9 -
B. Calamese 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simpson 35 2-11 2-8 9-11 6 5 0 0 2 15 13 -
J. Stanback 29 8-14 0-1 0-0 12 0 0 4 0 16 18 -
T. Byrd 29 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 10 6 -
C. Palesse 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Anderson 18 2-7 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 1 -
J. Walker 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
T. Mason 16 5-7 1-1 1-5 3 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
D. Yates 16 2-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
T. Mack 15 0-5 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Andrews 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter