Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Woodard * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -15.6 |
| T. Roberts * | 25 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | -14.9 |
| D. Williams * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | -22.7 |
| T. McDaniels * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -24.0 |
| M. Jones * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +1.6 |
| J. Morris | 28 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | +2.7 |
| S. Lancaster | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -7.3 |
| O. Hamilton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.6 |
| W. Henderson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +12.2 |
| J. Ellis | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| B. Calamese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Coit * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +0.3 |
| P. Payne * | 30 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | +15.2 |
| A. Mills * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +15.1 |
| D. Adams * | 26 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +8.9 |
| E. Saunders * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -8.9 |
| I. Watts | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +12.1 |
| A. Alston | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +18.3 |
| G. Del Pino | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +8.4 |
| G. Turkson Jr. | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -13.0 |
| C. Metcalf | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.4 |
* = starter