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2025-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 3.3% 96.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +34.5 โœ“ (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +57 (113-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Woodard 31 4-10 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 2 -27.9
Shane Lancaster 28 7-12 2-3 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 17 9 -25.4
Jameel Morris 21 0-7 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -20.0
Omari Hamilton 19 4-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 8 2 -21.1
Davian Williams 19 1-8 0-4 2-2 1 1 4 0 3 4 -1 -10.7
Mike Jones 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 3 -10.7
Travis Roberts 16 2-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 -1 -5.7
Bryson Calamese 16 1-6 0-1 1-1 1 3 2 0 1 3 2 -9.0
William Henderson 15 1-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -21.2
Jeremy Ellis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.3
Tycen McDaniels 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -11.5

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Obi Agbim 30 4-7 4-6 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 14 12 +31.5
Michael Rataj 28 7-10 2-2 2-4 10 5 0 1 2 18 22 +21.9
Isaac Williams 27 9-13 0-1 3-3 2 3 2 0 2 21 13 +3.9
Caden Powell 27 2-4 0-1 2-2 16 3 1 1 0 6 23 +21.6
Tounde Yessoufou 26 7-13 1-5 2-2 5 3 2 1 4 17 11 +27.8
Dan Skillings Jr. 25 5-7 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 0 2 12 13 +18.0
Cameron Carr 25 8-9 2-3 6-6 6 1 2 3 1 24 26 +29.8
Will Kuykendall 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.2
Drew Perry 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -0.1

* = starter