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Alabama

Also known as: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama
Program History

2012 Team Stats (12 games)

63.4
PPG
59.8
Opp
+3.6
Margin
45.6%
FG%
25.9%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
34.2
RPG
12.3
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.1
Adj PPG
53.1
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1286 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1199 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1045 (#107) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +13.0 (#26) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.3 (#31) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.790 (#43) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.8 More โ†’ 0.925 (#21) AdjNet +21.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.0 More โ†’ 0.927 (#21) AdjNet +22.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 53.1 More โ†’ 0.749 (#28) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 53.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 55.5 More โ†’ 0.654 (#42) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 55.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.787 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.771 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1197 (#51) RD 112 | GP 32

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs North Florida Ospreys W 64 - 44
2011-11-14 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 74 - 57
2011-11-17 vs Maryland Terrapins W 62 - 42
2011-11-18 @ Wichita State Shockers W 70 - 60
2011-11-20 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 65 - 56
2011-11-23 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 82 - 45
2011-11-27 vs VCU Rams W 72 - 64
2011-12-01 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 55 - 57
2011-12-07 @ Dayton Flyers L 62 - 74
2011-12-11 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 62 - 54
2011-12-17 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 71
2011-12-21 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 69 - 52
2011-12-29 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 72 - 55
2012-01-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 48
2012-01-07 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 74 - 59
2012-01-11 vs LSU Tigers W 69 - 53
2012-01-14 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 52 - 56
2012-01-19 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 59 - 69
2012-01-21 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 71 - 77
2012-01-25 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 54 - 56
2012-01-28 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 72 - 66
2012-02-04 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 69 - 67
2012-02-07 @ Auburn Tigers W 68 - 50
2012-02-14 vs Florida Gators L 52 - 61
2012-02-18 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 62 - 50
2012-02-23 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 79 - 68
2012-02-25 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 67 - 50
2012-02-29 vs Auburn Tigers W 55 - 49
2012-03-03 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 51 - 60
2012-03-08 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 63 - 57
2012-03-09 @ Florida Gators L 63 - 66
2012-03-16 @ Creighton Bluejays L 57 - 58

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JaMychal Green JaMychal Green F 26 29.2 14.0 7.4 1.8 0.7 1.5 2.7 5.3 17.3 124 25 5.0 8.1 59.4 25.0 74.6 5.24 108.4 59.8
Tony Mitchell Tony Mitchell F 22 31.1 13.1 7.0 1.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 7.2 15.3 64 18 3.6 5.0 45.9 27.3 57.1 0.87 84.3 49.7
Trevor Releford Trevor Releford G 32 31.3 12.0 3.0 2.8 2.0 0.1 2.0 4.1 13.8 59 27 2.2 3.1 52.3 23.5 77.3 1.95 126.5 55.3
Trevor Lacey Trevor Lacey G 32 24.3 7.4 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.1 1.7 3.3 8.2 70 28 2.5 5.1 44.8 30.0 80.0 3.35 96.7 53.3
Andrew Steele Andrew Steele G 19 25.6 6.6 3.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 1.6 1.6 10.9 34 18 1.9 3.4 51.6 50.0 87.0 1.59 152.0 54.8
Levi Randolph Levi Randolph G 32 26.9 6.6 3.9 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 9.4 21 28 0.8 1.3 36.7 23.5 55.9 -2.45 93.4 40.8
Nick Jacobs Nick Jacobs F 31 19.1 5.9 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 2.9 6.7 -16 26 -0.6 -1.6 48.9 0 56.0 -2.83 90.1 48.9
Rodney Cooper Rodney Cooper G 30 16.3 4.3 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.8 4.9 37 25 1.5 4.1 35.2 20.0 100.0 -0.16 109.6 39.8
C. Hankerson Jr. C. Hankerson Jr. G 29 11.0 3.7 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.5 4.2 78 24 3.2 12.8 32.6 27.3 69.2 3.8 108.8 39.5
Moussa Gueye Moussa Gueye C 11 8.4 1.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 1.0 1.4 0.6 2.5 -3 10 -0.3 -1.7 28.6 0 62.5 -1.23 76.0 28.6
Keon Blackledge Keon Blackledge G 3 5.7 1.3 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.3 - - - - 66.7 0.0 0 -1.55 66.7 66.7
Carl Engstrom Carl Engstrom C 24 7.9 0.9 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 2.6 23 20 1.1 6.7 50.0 0 42.9 -0.93 99.3 50.0
Ben Eblen Ben Eblen G 28 6.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.9 22 23 1.0 7.3 28.6 0.0 0 -0.5 64.3 28.6
J. Goode J. Goode - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG